Saturday, November 16, 2024

Project One: Executive Summary

Project One: Executive Summary


Problem:

The United States automotive industry suffers from a severe lack of environmentally friendly vehicle options that can a): reduce emissions and b): travel in a fuel-efficient way (Garsten, E, 2021). This is a major issue as our society finds itself at cross-roads between fossil fuels and clean energy; diversifying into the Hybrid & Electric Manufacturing Industry not only innovates our existing offers; but also gives new, and more sustainable options to an ever-growing environmentally conscious consumer base (Martins, A, 2024). In order to support our diversification strategy, I will be using both quantitative and qualitative data. Quantitative data such as gas milage, energy usage, revenue and vehicle production cost will be the primary contribution to this presentation. But qualitative data, like consumer feedback, and preferences will also play a significant role in our diversification strategy, especially as consumer behavior is greatly impacted by strong consumer service and satisfaction policies.

Automotive Manufacturing Industry:

The United States automotive industry saw "low consumer confidence and low business sentiment" (IBIS World, 2024) during the COVID-19 pandemic that discouraged consumer behavior, reducing the automotive revenue by -13.6% in 2020 (IBIS World, 2024). Later seeing revenue growth of 6.9% in 2022, stagnating out at less than 1% growth in 2023 and 2024, expected to see further stagnation in coming years. Currently value of the industry, as measured through over-all revenue is $41.5bn (IBIS World, 2024). There are three large "automotive hubs" in the United States; the biggest of which is located in the Great Lakes region, most notably the state of Michigan. The Great Lakes region amounting to 25.99% of establishments, holds many of the largest U.S automotive manufacturers including the General Motors Company (GM and Ford Motor Company (Ford). The second largest-hub is the Southeast U.S amounting to 23.07% of automotive manufacturers. Lastly the third major hub is the Western states, amounting to 17.2% of all establishments. Alternative and environmentally-friendly vehicles have steadily grown in demand, reaching 13.80 million electric cars in 2023 (Our World in Data, 2024). Additionally, U.S car demand varies dramatically depending on segment or model, with Crossover holding the largest share of 45.1% in Jun, 2022. Pickups at 19.3% and small cars at 7.1% (Carlier M, Statista, 2022).

Purchasing trends in the U.S automotive industry has been towards Crossover's, Pickups and small Cars. New Gasoline engines make up 59.9% of new car sales or $24.9bn in revenue, while automotive parts make up 29.1% of revenue for the industry or $12.1bn. Numerous auto-parts like pistons make up 7.6% or $3.2bn while rebuilt gasoline engines make up 3.4% or $1.4bn (IBS World, 2024). Hybrid and Electric vehicles have seen a "booming rise" in sales in 2024; with Hybrids growing by 50% in sales during the first two months of 2024 alone (Carter, T, 2024).

New Industry:

Major products of the Hybrid & Electric Manufacturing industry are very similar to that of the classic Automotive industry in the United States. The industry saw 36.2 % growth from 2019 to 2024, and is expected to see 9.7% growth from 2024 to 2029 (IBS World 2, 2024), signaling huge potential for further growth. As consumers become more and more environmentally-conscious, it is expected that'll influence the market leading to further growth. With 269 establishments, the main competitors are Tesla, Inc, with 34.1% market share, Ford Motor Company with 5.4% market share. Additionally, Honda, Toyota and General Motors have also entered the industry with smaller shares of the overall market (IBS World 2, 2024).

Revenue totaling $122.1bn, 55.8% is in Hybrid-Electric vehicles, while $39.2bn or 32.1% is in Electric vehicles, additionally $14.8bn or 12.1% is in Plug-in Electric vehicles (IBS World 2, 2024).  Totaling 269 establishments, the Hybrid & Electric Vehicle industry is rapidly expanding, with three major manufacturing hubs. The largest of which is the Great Lakes sector, with 33.6% of establishing, coming in second is the Western states with 25.5%. Coming in a close third is the Southeast with 24.1% of establishments.

With today's consumer-base becoming more conscious and discerning in their purchasing behavior (ONIO, 2024). it is more important than ever for our industry to monopolize and be reactive. Expanding into the Hybrid & Electric Vehicle industry is promising, both in terms of growth and attracting new, more environmentally-conscious consumers.

Almost 14 million new electric vehicles were registered in 2023(IEA, 2024); of those, the Plug-in Hybrid Vehicles (PHEV) have grown significantly as a market percentage(IBS World 2, 2024). Indicating that consumer-demand has increased in recent years; and is very likely to increase even more. Public and private charging ports have trended positively in recent years; seeing an increase of 7.7% in Quarter 3 of 2023 and 4.6% in Quarter 1 of 2024 (Alternative Fuels Data Center).

Porter’s Five Forces Analysis of the New and Automotive Industry:

 

New Industry

Automotive Manufacturing Industry

Rivalry Among Existing Competitors

Conducting an analysis using Porter's Five Forces; we can determine that the market of Hybrid & Electric Vehicle manufacturing is very promising. Although the market is highly competitive with four strongly-established companies that hold 47.4% of the entre market share in 2024 (IBS World 2, 2024). The largest market holder is Tesla, Inc, which has recently lost it's majority share of the market, falling under 50% (Energy News US, 2024). While the other major competitors of General Motors, Ford, Hyundai and Kia have gained market share.

There is a high-level of competitiveness in our current market; there are dozens of larger-companies that supply gas-powered automotive engines and parts; which has increased the options and competitiveness of the market. Additionally services like complimentary road-side assistance or wireless startup has been one of the main areas of competition to attract new consumers.

Threats of New Entrants

The "Threat of New Entrants" is low; given that the barriers to entry for the market are High, due to numerous reasons. Most notably is the legal and regulatory requirements faced by automotive makers in the Hybrid & Electric market, including regulations involving fuel efficiency and vehicle safety (IBS World 2, 2024). Additionally new start-ups face significant hurdles due to the number of already-established automotive companies in the market, leading to reduced cash-flow for startups and lack of funding opportunities.

There are high barriers to entry for new companies and startups due to the same legal and financial factors presented in the Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Manufacturing market.

Bargaining Power of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is low; due to the wide-availability of automotive parts and the ease of gaining access due to the larger automotive industry here in the United States. Additionally, the large international market for automotive industry allows companies to leverage the market for better prices (IBS World 2, 2024).

The bargaining power of suppliers in the automotive manufacturing industry is moderate because of the wide-range of available suppliers and the globalized market offering alternatives for manufacturers to choose from. Although recent supply-chain disruptions like the Russian Invasion of Ukraine or the COVID-19 pandemic have affected the steel supply, leading to increased bargaining power for suppliers (IBS World, 2024).

Threat of Substitute Products

The Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Manufacturing market has a moderate threat of substitute products. Natural-gas cars are similar to hybrid and electric vehicles, and still have significant popularity and market share, which is the biggest substitution threat to this market. But given we are already in the automotive market, this shouldn't pose a big risk to our operations.

There is a high threat of substitutions due to the number of companies present in the automotive industry, giving consumers many options to choose from to find the best-price possible. Additionally; similar products like motorcycle, public transportation and electric vehicles have been a big risk to the market, causing the popularity of gas-powered automobiles to drop.

Bargaining Power of Buyers

The bargaining power of buyers is high in this market; given the rapidly-increasing popularity of the market; there are numerous options for buyers to purchase from which gives them options to attain the best prices possible. Additionally; due to the threat of substitutions in the regular automotive industry, it gives even greater bargaining power to consumers.

The bargaining power of buyers is very high and continues to increase due to a shift-towards environmentally-conscious thinking, leading to an increase in popularity of Hybrid & Electric vehicles, along with other substitutions, causing companies to sell their products for lower prices.


Comparison of the Industries:
After conducting my Porter's Five Forces analyses, I can determine that the two industries are fundamentally similar because they both set-out to solve the same issue, and that is transportation; albeit in different ways. The automotive industry uses traditionally gas-powered engines while the Hybrid & Electric industry using more environmentally-friendly alternatives. Both industry have a high-level of competitiveness due to the existence of many large competitors pushing for greater market control. While the barriers to new entrants is also high in each industry to the similar regulatory, legal and financial implications of entering the market. The supplier bargaining power is similar but different for the industries. Additionally; because of the rise of alternative choices like Electric vehicles, the threat of substitutions is high for our current industry, but only moderate for the electric vehicle market.

Summary of Findings:
The problem we are trying to solve is fundamental to the current automotive industry: a rise of consumer environmental concern has led to decreased sales in the gas-powered automotive market. My findings address the problem by evaluating and analyzing the current state of the Hybrid & Electric Vehicles market, along with the barriers for our entrance into it. By diversifying into the industry, we can capture the lost consumers that are opting to buy more environmentally-friendly options, as well as solidify our market share on the existing gas-powered market.

Porter’s Five Forces Analysis Chart—New Industry:



Porter’s Five Forces Analysis Chart—Automotive Manufacturing Industry:



References:

Alternative Fuels Data Center: Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure Trends. (n.d.). Afdc.energy.gov. https://afdc.energy.gov/fuels/electricity-infrastructure-trends ‌

Carlier, M. (2022, July 21). U.S. car market: by vehicle type 2019 | Statista. Statista; Statista. https://www.statista.com/statistics/276506/change-in-us-car-demand-by-vehicle-type/

Carter, T. (2024, May 11). Hybrid sales are booming — here’s why drivers are buying them over EVs. Business Insider; Insider. https://www.businessinsider.com/hybrids-sales-booming-why-drivers-are-buying-them-over-evs-2024-5 ‌

Tesla loses U.S. market dominance as EV makers catch up | Energy News Network. (2024, July 10). Energy News Network; ENN. https://energynews.us/newsletter/tesla-loses-u-s-market-dominance-as-ev-makers-catch-up/ ‌

Garsten, E. (n.d.). Study Reveals Automakers Not Using Sustainability To Competitive Advantage. Forbes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/edgarsten/2021/04/13/study-reveals-automakers-not-using-sustainability-to-competitive-advantage/ ‌

IBIS World. (2024). Automobile Engine & Parts Manufacturing in the US. Retrieved from https://www.ibisworld.com/

IBIS World 2. (2024). Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Manufacturing in the US. Retrieved from https://my.ibisworld.com/us/en/industry-specialized/OD4516/products-and-markets

IEA. (2024). Trends in electric cars. IEA. https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2024/trends-in-electric-cars ‌

Martins, A. (2024, March 28). Most consumers want sustainable products and packaging. Business News Daily. https://www.businessnewsdaily.com/15087-consumers-want-sustainable-products.html ‌

Number of new cars sold, by type. (2024). Our World in Data. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/car-sales ‌

ONiO. (2024, February 15). The Rise of the Eco-Conscious Consumer | ONiO. Www.onio.com. https://www.onio.com/article/rise-of-eco-conscious-consumer.html

Soomo Learning. (2020). Critical business skills for success. https://www.webtexts.com